Monday, November 16, 2020

What Americans Really Think About Democracy in 2020

 

Here's the interview with someone at a Trump rally that I'm waiting to see:
"You think Trump actually won this election?"
"Absolutely. A ton of fake votes were cast all over the country."
"You know he's losing all his law suits?"
"That's not surprising. Democrat judges are believing whatever they see on left-wing media instead of looking at the clear facts before them, the ballots found in drainage ditches, the dead people voting, all that stuff."
"OK, but suppose Trump really did lose the Electoral College as well as the popular vote?"
"He didn't."
"I get it. But just suppose for a second that he lost anyway, that there's more stupid dems in the country than anybody realized, or whatever. Just pretend that's true for a second."
"OK."
"Would you support Trump staying as President anyhow?"
"I would. I'd think he should stay on as our president."
"Why is that?"
"Because I believe this country is too important for the people to let it be taken over by left wing extremists."
That is the money interview, because it shows where democracy stands among people's priorities. What percentage of the 70 million Trump supporters would exalt their hero (sent from God maybe) far above the paltry value they place on legitimate self-government?

To be fair, a substantial number of Hillary Clinton supporters might have said similar things in 2016. My book can be largely seen as a detailed attempt to reset these priorities.

Wednesday, November 11, 2020

Three Important Virtues of Approval Voting (that I plan to detail in a new paper)

 


Approval Voting (“AV”) has had its champions. In their eponymous book on the subject, Steven Brams and Peter Fishburn set forth a list of eight characteristics that they take to make for the unparalleled virtues of the scheme:

1.       It gives voters more flexible options.

2.       It could increase voter turnout.

3.       It would help elect the strongest candidate.

4.       It would give minority candidates their proper due.

5.       It is relatively insensitive to the number of candidates running.

6.       It is superior to preferential voting [e.g., RCV or The Single Transferable Vote].

7.       It will add legitimacy to the outcome.

8.       It is eminently practicable.

 

In my new book I joined the ranks of AV advocates, claiming that it is uniquely capable of playing a crucial part in an accurate determination of “the general will”—what the people want. I argued, in particular, that AV’s exclusive reliance on minimally successful (as conceived ex ante) states of affairs makes it the perfect electoral correlate for what I designated “CHOICE Voluntarism,” a theory of prudential value that assigns each “successful result”—as well as each person—equal respect/weight. While I do not think that frequent use of of a simple quasi-majoritarian mechanism like AV can alone completely capture the general will of an electorate (largely because, in my view, there must also be provisions for robust proportional representation, recall, referendum, and reversal, as well as an explanation of how the two recommended voting systems should be combined), I do think that AV is an essential constituent of an authentically democratic system.

But there was insufficient space in my book to include comprehensive discussion of several important merits of AV or to respond to every criticism that has been made of the scheme. No doubt I will likely miss several of them in my new paper too. But the three advantages to be discussed that AV has over every preference-based (ranking) voting rule seem to me make AV’s inclusion crucial to the construction of any authentic democracy. What are they?

I will argue first that AV cannot be convicted of irrationality due to any alleged failure to guarantee results that are independent of “irrelevant alternatives.” Second, I will show that AV eliminates the possibility of using agenda-setting to produce results that are inconsistent with majoritarianism and pluritarianism. Finally, I will explain why AV is not subject to the majority voting cycles that have troubled observers from Condorcet to Arrow. 

It is my hope that I will have an opportunity to summarize this paper in an APSA meeting next Fall on the West Coast.