Monday, June 20, 2022
My Review of Rick Hasen's Cheap Speech
Thursday, June 16, 2022
What makes for a stable democratic regime?
My sense is that a comparative politics guru could likely settle this "authority patterns" doctrine once and for all quite quickly. So I hope some of those folks will check it out!
(BTW, if my article seems dry or abstruse, it may help to contemplate while reading it that after escaping Nazi Germany as a child and in spite of publishing a ton of important work and teaching at Princeton as an adult, Eckstein somehow also managed to get married four times.)
Friday, June 3, 2022
Democratic Theory Naturalized is Out in Paperback!
Lexington Books has just notified me that my book, Democratic Theory Naturalized, will available in paperback this Fall at a price of $39.99.
I like this of course, but if you don't want to wait until September, there's already an e-book version available at $45, and Amazon is currently selling the hardback for $53 (unlike R & L, which still lists it for over $100). See this for details.
I'd naturally like to see a price that's in the vicinity $9.99--I mean, in spite of the fact that the book is...you know... absolutely life-altering, priceless stuff! But even a slightly cheaper imprint is obviously a good thing. And, as the book attempts to pound home repeatedly, The more good, the better.
Anyhow, if you've been waiting patiently for a paperback version, you can now order a copy at Rowman & Littlefield or Amazon! Cheers!
Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Does Democracy Require Meritocratic Elitism?
Anne Applebaum's new book is called The Twilight of Democracy, and she is quite distraught about the fading away of...well...something. It's certainly not democracy, though. She's in mourning for the diminution of the nearly worldwide power and prestige once held by her particular cohort: a group consisting mainly of wealthy, center-right, libertarian-leaning intellectuals and corporate big shots.
Friday, April 22, 2022
Laws, Legal Systems, and Government Power
But if even if the general idea of positivism now reigns supreme, it can't be denied that there are some fairly deep differences among the positions advocated by some of positivism's most widely known champions. In particular, perhaps the movement's two greatest figures--the Victorian Benthamite John Austin and the 20th Century Oxonian H.L.A. Hart--were on the opposite sides of several central issues of legal philosophy. For example, while Austin insisted that every law is essentially an order backed by threats, deriving ultimately from the sovereign, i.e., the most powerful person or group in the land, Hart denied such a reduction. On his view, where there are laws, there must be rules, non-purely-behavioral norms that produce obligations from a specifically "internal point of view." So, while both philosophers were, let's say, Earthians rather than supernaturalists, Austin took the behaviorist (and exclusively "external") view that laws are just commands emanating from habitually-obeyed-and-subject-to-no-higher-power sources, so long as those commands reliably produce the demanded responses among those who are subject to them.
Each of those two eminent theorists required both the procedural imprimatur (to be authoritative, laws must have been created in the appropriate way) and habitual compliance among most citizens. But Hart argued not only that many laws simply aren't commands backed by threats of penalties for scofflaws, but also that, even if they were nothing but orders of that kind--each analogous to "Your money or your life!" widespread habits of compliance (even among just the right people) would be insufficient to make them lawlike. To be obliged or compelled, Hart argued, isn't the same thing as to carry out an action as a result of an obligation. And Hart argued that laws uniquely carry obligitoriness--or at least they always produce that sense among the officials who are in charge of carrying them out. So, even in those cases where a large segment of the citizenry just obeys because they're worried about trouble they'll be in if they fail to do so, the appropriate internal attitude among those in charge will make a command or power-conferring rule a law.
Like all the most world-altering and influential philosophy books (and for all I know, this is true in every discipline), Hart's book has suffered from the notorious "thousand cuts" delivered by critics. As one philosopher put it to me long ago, when Plato wrote his Republic, Spinoza his Ethics, Kant his first Critique, Rawls his Theory of Justice, Wittgenstein his Tractatus, etc., it was like a huge and majestic elephant taking a step out from a dense jungle into an open, sunlit field....only to be slowly and painfully devoured by a multitude of army ants. Whether or not that analogy is entirely fair, it can't be denied that Hart's classic has suffered that fate to some extent. In particular, numerous criticisms have been levelled at his reliance on "secondary rules" to do the work of giving putative laws the teeth of authority and legitimacy. Hart claimed that it is these second-order rules, items like To be engrossed in the House, a bill (such as a penalty for burglary) must receive three readings" which provide the authority of first-order instructions regarding how we are supposed to behave. He argued that it is the existence of secondary rules and their placement in the array of injunctions and proper procedures in which they are found that indicate when any lower-order rule is part of a legal system.
Tuesday, March 15, 2022
My Review of Steffen Ganghof's Beyond Presidentialism & Parliamentarism
Is there a best sort of governmental arrangement? Is the U.S. system with its President and Congress better than England's Westminster system, with its Parliment and Prime Minister? Or is some other type best--perhaps a structure that's never been used?
My newest Hornbook review is of Steffen Ganghof's book on this subject. Spoiler: He endorses a system called "semi-parliamentarism." He talks (quite acutely) about a bunch of other interesting and important stuff too, like the benefits and demerits of different sorts of electoral systems, how best to avoid authoritarianism, etc. I discuss at least some of this in my new review at 3:16 AM, which can be found here.
Thursday, January 20, 2022
My Review of Robert Talisse's Sustaining Democracy: What We Owe the Other Side
My latest Hornbook Review over at 3:16 AM is of the above-pictured book. While flawed in certain ways, I think it makes an important contribution to political psychology in our turbulent times. Talisse's diagnosis of our tendencies to polarize and his suggestions for what we can do about it both seem to me right on the money.
Tuesday, January 4, 2022
Two New Book Reviews
The latest two of my "hornbook" democracy reviews now up at 3:16 AM are of the "debate book" by Michael Huemer and Daniel Layman on whether political authority is an illusion here, and of Joshua Spivak's little primer on recall elections here.
Check 'em out!
Oh, and Happy (tho I'm not expecting much myself) 2022!
Tuesday, October 26, 2021
The Proof is in the Polling
Back when the atrocities of January 6 were fresh in our minds, I wrote a piece called "Who Cares About Democracy?" in which I opined that the answer is "Almost nobody."
his overall vote share. When we restrict attention to candidate-choice scenarios with combinations of partisanship and policies that we typically see in real-world elections, this punishment drops to 3.5%.
2. Support for democracy is highly elastic: When the price of voting for a more democratic candidate is that candidate’s greater distance from the voter in terms of her preferred policies, even the most centrist voters are willing to tolerate at most a 10–15% increase in such a distance.
3. Centrists are a pro-democratic force: “Centrist” voters who see small policy differences between candidates punish undemocratic behavior at four times the rate of “extremist” voters who strongly favor one of the candidates.
4. Most voters are partisans first and democrats only second: Only about 13.1% of our respondents are willing to defect from a co-partisan candidate for violating
democratic principles when the price of doing so is voting against their own party. Only independents and partisan “leaners” support more democratic candidates
enough to defeat undemocratic ones regardless of their partisan affiliation.
5. Supporters of both parties employ a partisan “double standard”: Respondents who identify as Republican are more willing to punish undemocratic behavior by Democratic Party than Republican Party candidates and vice versa. These effects are about equal among both Democrat and Republican respondents.
Friday, October 15, 2021
Even a Powerful Majoritarianism Cannot be Tyrannous If It is Truly Democratic
In my humble opinion, there is WAY too much talk about "the tyranny of the majority." What the majority has long been, in the U.S. anyhow, is not tyrannous but feeble. Nevertheless, there is a deep-set fear of violent hordes here, and our Constitution is befouled with a bunch of unnecessary separations of power, a bicameral legislature, an Electoral College, and assorted other enfeebling provisions. The reasons that stuff is in there, of course, and the arguments for retaining all it, center around fear: fear of a "mobocracy," fear of armed brown shirts, fear of sans-culottes, fear of Bolshevism.
Of course, all of those items are quite sensibly feared. (Think of January 6th for example!) But what is missed by the fearful defenders of our cowering Constitution is that none of those groups, events, or "isms" had very much to do with democracy, even with democracy of the most radical kind. That's what my new paper, "Why Radical Democracy is Inconsistent with 'Mob Rule'" is about.
It has just come out in the new issue of The Romanian Journal of Society and Politics and is available for free download here.
Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Abizadeh on Majoritarianism
Majoritarianism seems pretty intuitive: when there is a disagreement, the faction with the most members should win. Why? Because every person’s view should be treated equally. It can’t be denied that there are objections to this very simple intuition. One popular one comes from a position of epistocracy. Epistocrats argue that if some people’s views are “more intelligent,” perhaps resulting from superior evidence, or are considered more likely to be true for any other reason, their votes should be worth more. Another criticism may result from a concern for “persistent minorities.” Here, the problem is that some “sticky group,” say Basque or Canadienne separatists, may be faced with the problem that their advocacy always fails--election after election. They’re in a minority--and not just any sort of minority, but one that almost seems to define them--and may always be so. This seems to some observers to be terribly unfair. These critiques may conclude with the theory that the relevant minority--the “smart people” or the members of the non-dominant culture--ought not to have to obey the majority. After all, the majority is either likely to be wrong (because stupid)* or certain to be oppressive (because dismissive of repeated dissents).
One traditional manner of attempting to maintain some level of majoritarianism in the face of such criticisms is the use of federalism. The supporter of fairly autonomous subdivisions can try to assuage the epistocrat by pointing out that the locals are much more likely to know precisely what is going on than (even the arguably smarter) folks who form their opinions from a considerable distance. And the defenders of separatism may be satisfied if they are given their own political subdivisions where, if not all, at least a considerable portion of their public policy may be developed without outside interference from groups with persistently different outlooks.
The extent to which federalization is anti-democratic is controversial, partly because both the boundary lines of the subdivisions and the areas of policy that are to be free from “outside interference” may be, to a great extent, arbitrary and thus, subject to intense disagreement. Furthermore, it may be doubted whether the locals really do know more about what they’re doing than outside experts, and the creation of, e.g., a French Canadienne region in Ontario would quite likely create a new “minority”: the English-speaking folk within the new district.
These are long-standing, probably intractable issues, and I certainly will not try to make any headway with them here. My interest today is rather in a recently published paper according to which democracy doesn’t require majority rule in the first place, and which concludes that federalism, rather than producing any deficit in democracy, is a democracy enhancer not in spite of its anti-majoritarian aspects, but because of them. For Arash Abizadeh, democratic procedures must be untethered from majoritarianism because it was a mistake to ever closely associate the two concepts in the first place.
Abizadeh begins his discussion by noting what he and others have taken to be the characteristics of majoritarianism that make it uniquely appropriate--even definatory--of democracy. First, there is the (a priori, not “real world”) equiprobability of each voter’s decision being the action that changes the election result. It also makes voter determinations (again a priori) independent of the determinations of all other voters. In addition, majoritarianism provides anonymity. which is the property that ensures that swapping the same number of yea votes or nay votes between any groups of voters cannot change the outcome. Finally, majority rule supplies neutrality, a property that requires that the decision rule itself is perfectly indifferent to what is being voted on.
Abizadeh does not deny that majority rule has any of these essential-to-democracy characteristics, but he suggests that they cannot be sufficient, since other decision rules, like choosing winners through various sorts of lotteries seem to have them too. Certainly, a selection rule having all the properties of neutrality, independence, anonymity and equiprobability may not provide democracy. That’s because democratic decision-making is essentially a method that allows some group to get what they want. That is, no selection rule that is not essentially a voting rule can provide democracy. For in random selection procedures, only one person--or even nobody at all!--may get to indicate her preferences. Abizadeh recognizes this additional constraint on democracy-providing properties when he points to the importance of political agency. He notes that while both dictatorships and lotteries may give each voter an equal amount of agency (or power), majority rule provides the maximum possible a priori voting power to each potential voter.
But in Abizadeh’s view there’s a problem in thinking that equal, maximal (a priori) democratic agency is sufficient for democracy. This can be seen, he thinks, when one considers that representative government itself seems to be inconsistent with the fair distribution of voter power. He writes, “those who defend a majoritarian conception of democracy by appeal to political equality have no leg to stand on once they move from direct to representative democracy.” On his view, with the introduction of representative government (a “two-tier procedure”) majority rule is fatally compromised, because when voters are not involved in the final selection of appointees or policies, “maximizing overall a priori voting power will often sharply clash with equalizing a priori voting power.” That is the sum and substance of what Abizadeh calls his “internal critique,” which, he believes, “reveals the majoritarian conception of democracy to be incoherent.”
This is a very serious charge, so let's look at this argument that majoritarianism is self-contradictory more closely. I believe it’s quite correct that the use of representative government is not inherent to democracy, which may be either direct or representative. There are oft-discussed merits and problems associated with both types, but each can be democratic so long as equally-treated group members are given the opportunity to indicate what they want, and their voices are accurately aggregated and acted upon. Whatever the problems of representative government, however, most of the well-known difficulties associated with representation and delegation are entirely separate from the problems that “two-tier” elections have been shown to create for majority rule. The latter specifically involve such atrocities as the U.S. Electoral College, in which the existence of widely different state populations do clearly de-democratize Presidential elections (just as, of course, the institution of the EC was intended to do). The point is that these specific voting-for-elector problems, which also come up in university appointments, are not solved by federalization: they are actually caused by the devolution of the electorate into separate voting blocs--something that is, of course, required by federalism. That is, as considerable literature on this matter has demonstrated, there is no majority deficit problem with two-tier voting so long as there are no subsidiary units of voters doing the selecting of the ultimate electors. Thus, majority rule is not undone by representation in this context, but by federalism—or at least by the creation of political subdivisions. While separation of some sub-group into a new country might cure this defect--so long as the new country has no voting subdivisions--so could an absolutely unitary government without the creation of the new polity.
I make here no argument against federalism or other forms of devolution, and I don’t mean to suggest that there are no difficult puzzles produced as soon as a group begins to include appointments or policymaking by delegates who are supposed to be representative of the general electorate in some manner or other. Examples of such problems were recently brought to light by two cases in the U.S. Supreme Court involving so-called “faithless electors”--and have come up in many other contexts involving corruption, dereliction of duty, incompetence, etc. since the days of Plato. But the particular problem of interest here--that of an increase in majority deficit connected with two-tier voting--is actually created by the partitioning of voters into subsidiary units, and (if there were no other relevant considerations, which, of course, there are) could be undone by dissolution of the units and reabsorption of voters into a unitary electorate. In a word, no sub-units, no majority deficits. And there is nothing about the concepts either of majoritarianism or representation from which the devolution of voting segments may be inferred.
So much for Abizadeh’s “internal incoherence” critique. The author moves on from there to what he takes to be the obvious, real-world deficiencies of majoritarianism. These involve, first and foremost, the above-mentioned difficulties associated with persistent minorities. On these matters he is much more convincing...but also much less original. In a (to my mind unnecessarily complicated manner), he argues that certain persistent minorities--those which are likely to have significantly less economic power than the dominant majority--have been dealt hands, indeed hands after hands after hands, that seem on their face to be coming from stacked decks. Abizadeh points out that the political views of the members of such minorities should be expected to be closely correlated: this generally results in a regular struggle by group members to get a single one of their programs implemented. Abizadeh suggests that the solution to such problems involves a recognition of the power in numbers, i.e., facing up to the fact that democracy is largely a matter of group dynamics in which individual choices ought not to be aggregated in any manner that entirely abstracts votes from their relevant surroundings and their implications for a posteriori voting power. Where there is no such recognition, or it is not appropriately dealt with by federalization, Abizadeh believes that members of these groups may be justified in ignoring majority edicts. He may well be right, but it should be clear that such actions/resistance need not be considered to reflect a greater appreciation for democracy. I believe, on the contrary, that what they would indicate is that members of such sub-groups have concluded that democracy does not offer solutions to many of their intractable troubles.
What I think Abizadeh misses here is that democratic procedures should never have been thought to have made those sorts of promises in the first place. Democracy cannot not prevent indifference to minorities, and is even consistent with certain types of cruelty to them. This can (and, in a sense, should) happen wherever a majority is indifferent or cruel. Abizadeh seems determined to make democracy consistent with his views of fairness and decency—or at least with some sort of equality of a posteriori calculation of voting power. But the goal of democracy is neither fairness nor decency of that kind, but simply self-government. It is neither more nor less than the way in which the people in some group (i.e., the majority) can get what they want. It must indeed prevent certain types of discrimination, provide equal protection to each person, and must even lend helping hands to ensure that each group member is provided with a broad array of enforceable political rights. This understanding of authentic democracy thus has those features that Abizadeh associates with what he calls “thick majoritarianism,” But, no matter how thick, democracy should not be thought to ensure a kind or gentle polity by guaranteeing the a posteriori equality of individual voter agency—even if it could.
Of course, everyone is free to exalt lovely goals other than democracy, just as Abizadeh does in this article. Certainly, there is no disgrace in making generosity or fair distribution of wealth or appreciation for indigenous cultures one’s summum bonum: it may even display great virtue. What no one should do, however, is try to bend the concept of democracy in an attempt to show that we can be good small “d” democrats even when we are actually looking hither and yon for ways to prevent the people from getting what they want.
Sunday, August 1, 2021
My Hornbook Review of Mary Anne Franks' Constitutional Critique
The new review of mine that has popped up at 3:16 AM is of Mary Anne Franks' ferocious attack on white male supremacy, and its alleged support by not only gun groups like the NRA but free speech advocates like the ACLU. It's a fun-to-read polemic.
Franks is right about the cult and the disgustingness of the current GOP, but I think she misses constitutional flaws that can't be found in the First and Second Amendments. She also puts too much faith in the Declaration of Independence and the Fourteenth Amendment. (That's a bit cultish too, IMO.)
Take a look!
Thursday, June 3, 2021
The Third Chapter of My Hornbook of Democracy Book Reviews
My review of Adam Jentleson's new book on the evils of the U.S. Senate, its leaders, and, in particular, its Filibuster is now up at 3:16 AM. It can be found here
Monday, May 17, 2021
The Second Chapter of My Hornbook of Democracy Book Reviews is on Constitutional Idolatry
Saturday, April 17, 2021
A Hornbook of Democracy Book Reviews
Richard Marshall has generously offered me a place to review books on democratic theory at his 3:16 AM site. My first review, of Lee Drutman's Two-Party Doom Loop is now up.
I expect the next three (in some order or other) will be Brian Christopher Jones' Constitutional Idolatry and Democracy, Yascha Mounk's The People vs. Democracy, and the forthcoming Huemer/Layman "debate book" on whether government authority is an illusion. And, while it's not strictly a book on democracy, I'm thinking I might not be able to resist writing something on Peter Graham's Subjective vs. Objective Moral Wrongness.
Keep an eye out!
Sunday, February 28, 2021
Can Non-partisan Electoral Systems Produce Coherent Policies that are Responsive to the Electorate?
In my book I
take the position that a bipartite voting system is necessary to get a good
sense of what the people in any group want. And I offer up something like the Mixed-Member Proportional Representation system used in New Zealand and elsewhere. It is a
bit different from MMP, however, since I specifically call for single-member elections
using Approval Voting and proportional representation using the Single
Non-Transferable VOTE (SNTV). I don’t discuss to what extent (if any)
elections utilizing my proposals should be partisan or non-partisan, however, and to the extent that strong parties
are making exclusive lists of candidates in the PR elections, SNTV voting--where everyone votes for one favorite candidate--becomes equivalent to an open party
list system in which the parties set forth the only candidates that anyone may
vote for. I am agnostic on this matter, but have been thinking about it quite a
bit lately. I therefore put these musings—which are a bit out of my wheelhouse-- on this blog with the hope that those with more knowledge in this area may comment and
enlighten me.
“Parties are intermediaries that connect the
public and the government. Parties also aggregate these diverse
interests into a relatively cohesive, if typically compromise, platform, and
they articulate these varied interests by representing them in government. The
result, in this view, is that partis parlay those compromise positions into policy
outcomes, and so they—a ruling if nonhomogeneous and shifting government
majority—can be held accountable to the public in subsequent elections. The
diversity of actors in the party lead to an equally diverse set of party
arrangements….These diverse structures make possible the key concepts of the
party in this view: interest articulation and aggregation and electoral
accountability.
This idea is fleshed out a bit in the paper “A Theory of Political Parties:
Groups, Policy Demands and Nominations in American Politics” (2012), by Kathleen Bawn, et al. The
authors there consider a society in which there are various interests such as those who want to protect local wool production, those who want to spend money
on school buildings and teachers, those who want to enforce blue laws, and several other groups—including some that coalesce (like of low-taxers, consumer groups or bar owners) specifically to
defeat the other groups. Then the authors try to make the case that without deal-making
between these interest groups, nothing like a coherent public policy is likely
to result. Obviously, their little society greatly simplifies the real world. I
believe, however, that it is still too complex to fathom. In this entry, I will
try to provide an even simpler scenario and attach a level of quantitative support to each
interest in order to see whether it’s really the case that every sort of voting
scheme requires a fairly robust party system in order for a coherent policy
that is responsive to the desires of the voting public to be produced.
Assumptions:
The jurisdiction has a population of 1,000,000
and has three seats for representatives.
500,000 are generally uninterested in matters
of public policy or “politics.” The remaining 500,000 do have first priorities they
want their representatives to focus on and may also have second priorities, but
no one has any public matters they care about, beyond a second priority.
105,000 are Pro-Choice (These care most about a woman's right to have an abortion without interference)
100,000 are Protectionists (These care most about putting tariffs on goods coming from outside this jurisdiction)
100,000 are Laborites (These care most about union rights and raising minimum wages)
75,000 are Anti-Protectionists (These care most about preventing tariffs)
75,000 are Anti-Laborites (These care most about stopping unions and preventing minimum wage hikes)
45,000 are Anti-choice (These care most about the right to life of unborn prenates)
Of
the 105,000 Pro-choice Advocates:
21,000 are secondarily pro-protection
21,000 are secondarily anti-protection
21,000 are secondarily pro-labor
21,000 are secondarily anti-labor
21,000 have no secondary public interest
Of
the 100,000 Protectionists:
20,000 are secondarily pro-labor
20,000 are secondarily anti-labor
20,000 are secondarily pro-choice
20,000 are secondarily anti-choice
20,000 have no secondary public interest
Of
the 100,000 Laborites:
20,000 are secondarily pro-protection
20,000 are secondarily anti-protection
20,000 are secondarily pro-choice
20,000 are secondarily anti-choice
20,000 have no secondary public interest
Of
the 75,000 Anti-Protectionists:
25,000 are secondarily anti-labor
25,000 are secondarily pro-labor
10,000 are secondarily pro-choice
10,000 are secondarily anti-choice
5,000 have no secondary public interest
Of
the 75,000 Anti-Laborites
25,000 are secondarily anti-protection
25,000 are secondarily pro-protection
10,000 are secondarily pro-choice
10,000 are secondarily anti-choice
5,000 have no secondary public interest
Of
the 45,000 Anti-Choice Advocates:
10,000 are secondarily pro-protection
10,000 are secondarily anti-protection
10,000 are secondarily pro-labor
10,000 are secondarily anti-labor
5,000 have no secondary public interest
************************************************************************************
Let us start by assuming that the
electorate will vote for all and only those candidates who back what is
most important to them (this assumption will be changed below). If the three candidates for the three seats in this
imaginary district are to be elected via a system that both (i) allows voters
to vote for as many candidates as they like, and (ii) gives seats to the three
candidates receiving the most votes, then Pro-choicers (with their 105,000
backers will win all the seats. If electors may vote for no more than three
candidates, the Pro-choicers will be certain to win all three seats only if
they put up no more than three candidates. Obviously, one way of assuring that
result in an election of this type is for the pro-choice advocates to organize
a party with the power to determine which candidates with its priorities may
pull papers. If those with other first priorities understand the situation,
they may try to arrange a merger with any pro-choice party that forms, in order
to pick up one seat by a member with a different first priority who favors choice
as a second priority, or to at least make sure that at least two of the seats
are taken by candidates who share their views as a second priority.
In a system where voters may pick only
one favorite (with the top three vote-getters winning seats), it will again be
difficult without the intervention of strong parties to ensure either the victory of more than one representative with any
particular first priority, or even the victory of more than one representative having
either a first or second priority of any one (or two) particular interests. Securing
such results would seem to require the intervention of entities making possibly quite complicated deals involving
both what members may and may not publicly support and who will be allowed to run for office.
What happens if we vary our assumption requiring that each member of the electorate will vote for all and only those candidates
who back what is most important to her by assuming instead that each elector
will vote for all the candidates of whom she minimally approves. Now, everyone will
vote for all candidates espousing EITHER their first or second priority. Would we still need parties? Given this changed assumption, if electors may vote for as many candidates as they want, and
everyone who is interested in politics goes to the polls, we can expect the
following results: 1 Pro-choice winner, 1 Laborite winner, and 1 Protectionist
winner. So long as each interest group has at least one candidate in the race sharing its first priority, it won’t
matter how many additional candidates having that first priority also run. For simplicity then, let us just assume that each of the groups listed above has only one candidate with that first priority on the ballot.
Approval Election Results
The Pro-choice candidate will
receive 105K + 20K + 20K +10K + 10K + 165,000 votes
The Protectionist candidate will
receive 100K + 21K + 20K +25K + 10K = 176,000 votes
The Laborite candidate will receive
100K + 21K + 20K + 25K + 10K = 176,000 votes
The Anti-Protectionist candidate
will receive 75K + 21K + 20K + 25K + 10K = 151,000 votes
The Anti-Laborite candidate will receive
75K + 21K + 20K +25K + 10K = 151,000 votes
The Anti-Choice candidate will receive
45K + 20K + 20K + 10K + 10K = 105,000 votes
Will we therefore have a government that enacts Pro-choice, Protectionist, Laborite policies? Not necessarily. In spite of the first priorities of
these three candidates, we cannot assume that the policies created by the three representatives will end up being Pro-choice, Protectionist, and Laborite. Why not? Without party intervention, the second priorities
of the winners will be randomly distributed, so we cannot simply assume that,
e.g., the Pro-choice winner will be amenable to labor or protection proposals. Similarly,
we cannot simply assume that the Protectionist representative will be pro-choice
or pro-labor. Thus, if the three-member legislative/executive representatives
require a majority to do anything, they may be unable to go forward on any
front. Alternatively, one (or two) of the voter-supported positions may
move forward…but there may be no way to tell which one(s) ex ante. Perhaps
detailed polling and interviews with all the candidates would be helpful here,
but it seems they'd be so only if these candidates are completely forthcoming—and it’s not clear what their
interest would be in getting into secondary matters if they don’t have to, since such disclosures may hurt their electoral chances.
This quite simple scenario seems to me to suggest that with no pre-election coordination, it may well occur that there will be no
movement on any issue post-election. But I do not know how or whether the coordination required for program enactments can occur absent the construction of parties and the subsequent presentation of
party candidates. Deal-making of the required sort would seem quite difficult to obtain in any setting in which interest groups--parties--are not important players. It thus seems to me that if one believes (as I do) that democratic governments must be authentically responsive to the sort of electorate imagined in this example, a relatively
strong party system may be required.
I'm not sure about this, though. And, again, I hope those with more experience in this field will comment and correct me where they believe I need it!

